World stock indexes fell on Monday on 1,3-2%

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World stock indexes fell on Monday on 1,3-2%, on Tuesday pass into a state of cautious recovery. The reasons for anxiety of investors is the trade war between the US and China, which can get the extension soon. Plus last Friday, the EU imposed duties on American goods in the amount of 2.8 billion Euro, which provoked a threatening statement by the us authorities on entering a 20% duty on U.S. imports of European cars. In turn, the EU is ready to contratto. Note that against this backdrop, the MSCI world markets fell by 1.45% to 2085 points in one day.
From February 2018, the amplitude of oscillations of this index has improved markedly from 0.45% to 1.04% and above in one day that we associate with the subject of a trade war. In the current environment, China is already making concessions for the banks reduces reserve requirements, and thereby helps major banks to expand lending to Chinese companies in terms of trade war with the United States.
Plus the authorities of China are already doing a hint of the devaluation of the yuan to the dollar. Therefore, the amplitude of the MSCI will continue to expand to levels 2014-2016 1,1% – 1,9%. Capital outflow from emerging markets will continue, but the demand for local government bonds will be in the countries with stable macrodynamic and investment ratings from at least two global agencies, for example, Russia, Romania, Poland, Latin America, and some Asian countries.
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Viktor Veselov,
Chief analyst,
GLOBEXBANK